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By Elizabeth Martinez
Miami, FL- The supply of REO properties and delinquencies keeps getting larger, which is in turn creating an excess of supply in the housing market. With greater supply, prices for homes go down.
REOs are currently coming to join the market at a faster rate in several of the 35 plus markets that Metrostudy, a leading provider of secondary and primary market data, tracks. This brings more downward pressure on prices, especially at the higher end and faster in some markets than others.
According to reports, cure rates are worsening; this is contributing to an increase in mortgage delinquencies. There are 2.5 mortgages that have returned to delinquency for every one that has actually improved. Nationally, there are 4 million distressed mortgages (REO, in foreclosure or seriously delinquent). There are also an additional 4.1 million households with mortgages who have more than 50 percent negative equity.
Metrostudy said that the number of households is shrinking as people double up, which in turn increases excess supply even more. Excess housing is around 2 million, and the loss of excess households is about 1.5 million. As more excess supply is created by the decline in households and new foreclosures, it will be difficult for existing demand to absorb both, explains Steve Cook from UPI.com. "This is further evidence that we have not yet hit the bottom," the report said.
Furthermore, the report from Metrostudy showed the latest statistics indicating that sales per subdivision were dismal in May and only slightly better in June and in July. "California extended their tax credit, but it will not help much. The former fence-sitters already bought, and that has left behind a vacuum of demand," the report concluded.
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